Risk disclosure · 27 August 2026
Historical evidence can fail in live markets.
Technical review can expose assumptions and limitations. It cannot remove market, model, execution or operational risk.
Historical and simulated limitations
Backtests and simulations use selected data, modelling choices, costs, rules and periods. They benefit from hindsight, may omit operational failures and cannot reproduce every future market regime or execution condition.
Model and parameter risk
A strategy may be overfit, dependent on a narrow period or parameter set, or vulnerable to structural change. More tests do not guarantee that the underlying model is correct.
Execution and platform risk
Spreads, commission, slippage, latency, rejected orders, price feeds, broker rules, outages, coding errors and platform differences can materially change results.
Portfolio and concentration risk
Different strategy names, symbols or magic numbers can share the same underlying exposure and lose together. Historical correlation can also change.
Monte Carlo and scenario analysis
These calculations describe variation within specified assumptions. They do not cover every possible outcome and are not maximum-loss guarantees.
No recommendation or suitability assessment
RangeState does not determine whether a strategy, investment, broker, prop programme, position size or allocation is suitable. Supported, Limited and Unsupported describe a written technical proposition only.